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  1. Nov 23, 2022 · HSBC now forecast the Pound to Dollar exchange rate to trade at 1.14 by year-end, an upgrade from their previous prediction of 1.10. The end-Q1 figure is now 1.15, up from 1.08, end-Q2 is up to...

    • Global Optimism Will Undermine Dollar Demand
    • Complications Surrounding Us Recession Fears
    • Euro Support from A Stronger Capital Account
    • Sterling to Attract Bargain Hunters
    • Swiss Franc to Lose Ground

    HSBC expects that the degree of confidence in the global economy will be a key element during 2023. Although HSBC notes risks to the outlook, it takes a relatively upbeat stance on the outlook, and considers the risk that current market expectations are too pessimistic. According to HSBC; “Our thesis focuses on how slowing global growth is showing ...

    HSBC discusses n length the potential for the Federal Reserve interest rate hikes to trigger a hard landing and recession in the US economy. According to HSBC, instances of this have actually been relatively rare in history. There is a widespread assumption that a slide in the US economy will undermine risk assets and support the dollar. Although H...

    HSBC notes that high energy prices have undermined the Euro-Zone trade account. The ECBpolicy of negative interest rates has also been an important element in triggering heavy and sustained selling of Euro-Zone securities which has undermined the capital account

    HSBC also notes some tentative evidence that the UK balance of payments position is stabilising. It notes; “The UK’s external balances have been more precarious than the Eurozone’s but again there are early signs that some of these forces may be past their worst.” The overall outlook is still very fragile, but is sees scope for bargain hunting in U...

    The yen posted sharp losses in 2022 while the Swiss franc has been resilient with net gains. HSBC expects that there will be a reversal in 2023 with the Yen seen as cheap. It adds; “we expect the JPY’s undervaluation and the CHF’s relative overvaluation to correct significantly through the course of 2023.” The dollar to yen (USD/JPY) exchange rate ...

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  3. Jan 21, 2024 · Foreign exchange analysts at HSBC overall have a relatively neutral stance on the dollar with scope for only limited and gradual losses as the Fed switches to a more balanced... 26 Apr, 2023. Pound to Dollar Rate Tipped to Reach 1.30 by 2024 say HSBC.

  4. Apr 29, 2022 · While the Pound-Dollar rate edged higher throughout much of the Friday session, it had traded as low as 1.2411 on Thursday and HSBC says that its losses are likely to extend further due to both...

  5. Jan 5, 2023 · HSBC's house view is for the Pound to Dollar exchange rate to trade to 1.22 by the end of the first quarter as analysts warn that the speed of the USD's recent depreciation might have been...

  6. Jan 2, 2024 · January 2, 2024 - Written by Ben Hughes. STORY LINK Pound to Dollar Rate Forecast Towards 1.20 say HSBC Analysts. The Pound to Dollar (GBP/USD) exchange rate peaked at 4-month highs around 1.2830 on December 28th before a significant retreat to 1.2715 on Tuesday as the dollar regained some ground.

  7. Sep 7, 2023 · By Dave Taylor. Published: Sep 07, 2023 at 10:00. EUR to USD GBP to USD Institutional FX Forecasts. HSBC's. Global Head of FX Research, Paul Mackel, predicts a decline in the value of both Euro (EUR) and Pound Sterling (GBP) against the US Dollar (USD) in the coming year.

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