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Climate change predictions indicate that increasing temperatures and more frequent weather extremes will continue to hit the Sahel region harder than other parts of the world.
The Central Sahel region is expected to face important climatic changes in the next decades which will affect food security, livelihoods, mobility and security. Temperatures, particularly in the northern parts of the Central Sahel, could rise 1,5 times faster than the global average by 2030.
- A Convoluted Mosaic
- Counterproductive Development Aid
- A Flawed Assumption
- The Appropriate Response
However, in the case of the Sahel region, the picture is in reality more convoluted. A 2012 analysis in the Journal of Peace Research on climate-related land-use disputes in Mali over a two-decade period shows no correlation between climate and conflict. In other words, both in times of drought and rain, communities claimed the same levels of satis...
As such, wherever the EU and the Alliance Sahel provide development aid to counter the effects of climate change, they should bear in mind that their projects could end up producing the opposite effect by increasing the local land value, perversely leading to an increase in disputes. Take the work of the Opération de développement de l’élevage dans...
None of this means that climate change has no impact whatsoever on livelihoods in the Sahel. Some of the interviews we conducted in 2020 for a recent report of the Konrad-Adenauer-Foundation (KAS)point to climate change as a risk multiplier: the effects of climate change present an additional burden for already weak institutions and socio-ecologica...
How, then, to reverse the trend? How should we rethink our climate-related projects? In our KAS-report on the European climate-security nexus, we argue that a shift in focus needs to take place with regard to the European security approach to the Sahel. Climate is a fundamental dimension of the crisis in the Sahel, and one whose effects we will see...
The Sahel region is highly exposed to climate change, but national and local factors mean that climate change will have differentiated impacts across the region. The region will gradually become hotter, with some areas experiencing increased, but erratic, rainfall.
Nov 16, 2022 · Even with ambitious climate mitigation policies, temperatures in the Sahel are predicted to rise 2.5°C by 2080. If urgent action is further delayed, they could increase by 4.3°C. Despite the negative trends, the Sahel is endowed with abundant natural resources.
Jul 29, 2021 · What role does climate change play in the Sahel’s current instability? What are the best climate emergency adaptation strategies to promote in the area? What role does Europe play in the Central Sahel’s climate resilience, and what role could it play in the future?
Jul 24, 2015 · Persistent drought in the Sahel in the 1970s and 1980s was caused by subtle changes in global sea surface temperatures. Now model results show that the direct effect of increasing greenhouse-gas...
