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An interactive electoral map derived from FiveThirtyEight's probabilistic model for the 2020 presidential election.
- 538 Forecast for 2024 Presidential Election - 270toWin
The colored gradients are used to show higher probabilities...
- 2020 Presidential Election Forecast Maps - 270toWin
This map aggregates the ratings of nine organizations to...
- 538 Forecast for 2024 Presidential Election - 270toWin
Nov 3, 2020 · Latest forecast of the 2020 presidential election between President Donald Trump and Joe Biden by Nate Silver’s FiveThirtyEight.
2 days ago · An updating average of 2020 presidential general election polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency
Nov 3, 2020 · Choose whether President Trump or Joe Biden will win each state in the 2020 presidential election and we’ll recalculate whether they have a path to 270 electoral votes and what their chance is...
3 days ago · The colored gradients are used to show higher probabilities for Biden or Trump, deepening as the likelihood of winning increases: Light (60%+), Medium (75%+), Dark (98%+). Use this map as a starting point to create and share your own 2024 presidential election forecast. 2020 Electoral Votes. Change From 2020 to 2024.
This map aggregates the ratings of nine organizations to come up with a consensus forecast for the 2020 presidential election. Use the timeline feature to view the map as it looked at the end of each day.
Oct 21, 2020 · When you first open the interactive, it’ll show you a map that’s shaded based on our presidential forecast and the 40,000 simulations we run each time we update the model. Deep-blue...