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1 day ago · See the latest polls and averages for the 2024 presidential election, featuring Biden vs. Trump and other candidates. Compare polls by state, date, sponsor, sample size and partisan type.
- National Polls
Download the data. When the dates of tracking polls from the...
- Race for The Senate
Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight...
- Interactives
FiveThirtyEight uses statistical analysis - hard numbers -...
- National Polls
538 uses statistical analysis — hard numbers — to tell compelling stories about elections, politics, economics, and American society.
FiveThirtyEight
Jun 8, 2021 · How did FiveThirtyEight's models perform in predicting the 2020 outcomes for the presidency, Senate and House? What are the challenges and opportunities for forecasting the 2022 midterms? Read the analysis by Nate Silver and his team.
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