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Feb 15, 2019 · In this study, we find a close relationship between the future Sahel rainfall projections and present rainfall simulation biases in South Asia and the western North Pacific in summer, using the historical simulations and future projections of phase 5 of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP5).
- Yuhan Yan, Riyu Lu, Chaofan Li
- 2019
Apr 6, 2021 · Abstract. Climate change will drive major perturbations of the West African summer monsoon. A zonal contrast in precipitation will develop at the end of the century, with an increase in...
- Paul-Arthur Monerie, Benjamin Pohl, Marco Gaetani
- 2021
Sep 15, 2022 · Using the observed response coefficient estimate as a constraint, we find that Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 climate models with a realistic past rainfall response show a smaller spread, and higher median, of projected future rainfall change, compared to the full ensemble.
- Jacob Schewe, Anders Levermann
- 49, Issue18
- 15 September 2022
Feb 7, 2018 · The simulation of Sahel rainfall and its onset during the West African Monsoon (WAM) remains a challenge for current state-of-the-art climate models due to their persistent biases,...
- Sebastian Steinig, Jan Harlaß, Wonsun Park, Mojib Latif, Mojib Latif
- 2018
Dec 15, 2022 · For the future warming scenario, the dynamic component favors a relatively weaker increase of rainfall over the central-eastern Sahel but even a decrease of rainfall over the western Sahel (Fig. 5f), also consistent with the projected future change in ITCZ (Fig. 1f).
May 3, 2022 · The results show that the multi-model ensemble (MME) mean projects a slight increase (1–2%/℃) of summer rainfall over the Sahel in the future which seems to be due to the thermodynamic changes and opposed by the dynamic changes, but that the inter-model spread is due to the latter.
May 25, 2017 · Climate models vary widely in their ability to capture Sahel rainfall anomalies. There is some statistical evidence of multi-year predictability, especially using multi-model means, for...
