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      • The World Economic Forum’s Global Risks Report 2024says the biggest short-term risk stems from misinformation and disinformation. In the longer term, climate-related threats dominate the top 10 risks global populations will face. Two-thirds of global experts anticipate a multipolar or fragmented order to take shape over the next decade.
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  2. The World Economic Forum’s Global Risks Report 2024 says the biggest short-term risk stems from misinformation and disinformation. In the longer term, climate-related threats dominate the top 10 risks global populations will face.

  3. Jan 25, 2024 · In addition, Societal polarization and Economic downturn are seen as the most interconnected – and therefore influential – risks in the global risks network, as drivers and possible consequences of numerous risks. The Cost-of-living crisis remains a major concern in the outlook for 2024.

    • Navigating The Future: A Strategy For Our Turbulent World
    • Importance of Leadership
    • Global Trends’ Track Record
    • The Approach
    • Crunch Comes Later For Middle- and Low-Income Countries
    • Good and Bad Scenarios
    • A Sense of Urgency Needed by All
    • Youth Bulges Remain Important
    • Migration and Mobility
    • Urbanization

    Strategic foresight: 100-day checklist for the new administration 1. Incorporate strategic foresight into decision making in an effort to get ahead of the crisis curve. 2. Undertake entitlement reform. Not putting entitlements on a more solid fiscal foundation willendanger the US’s long term security. 3. Treat water security for US allies and partn...

    The lack of thinking about and action on repairing the international fabric is itself a concern, given the risks of more open conflict. In her magisterial work on the causes of the First World War—The War That Ended Peace—Margaret MacMillan analyzed how slowly the options for not going to war were eliminated in the fifteen or so years before the ou...

    The National Intelligence Council’s Global Trends series has never pretended to be a modern-day oracle, but it has held up better than other forecasts—partly because the authors understood that they lived in a revolutionary age with change, not continuity, as the overall megatrend. The authors were criticized in 2004 for questioning whether the eme...

    Because Global Trends and its methodology is so well-known, this paper will draw on Global Trends 2030’s categorization of megatrends, gamechangers, and scenarios. For the most part, policymakers found that framework useful for helping them think about the future. Where necessary in this study, the author has updated the findings in Global Trends 2...

    Most middle-income countries have proportionally larger and younger workforces, putting them in a better position to prepare for the inevitable aging process. With fewer dependents, there is higher savings potential and more growth capacity. This report’s modeling shows, for example, that upper-middle-income countries will be able to devote more re...

    Aging and demographic transitions are a given, but a number of variables—such as medical advancements leading to healthier and longer-living populations, unanticipated drops in fertility rates in low-income African nations, or sustained high levels of migration from poorer to higher-income countries—could change the balance between risks and benefi...

    Political and economic measures can make a critical difference in terms of whether people all end up poorer and more unstable, or able to fully enjoy the benefits of growing longevity. With the aging process in full swing, high-income countries face a particularly difficult task of raising retirement ages, implementing efficiencies in healthcare, a...

    While aging will become the predominant demographic trend, the number of countries—fifty—with a median age of twenty-five years or less will remain relatively large, though down from more than eighty such countries in 2010. Such youthful countries tend to have an oversized impact on foreign affairs because of the high correlation between youth bulg...

    Migration and mobility could be important factors in ameliorating the workforce and skills gaps caused by aging, although rising political and social opposition to immigration may act as an obstacle. Populations in youthful countries could have increasing opportunities so long as they can acquire the skills, and if immigration barriers do not preve...

    For the first time in human history, a majority of people are now living in urban areas. That number will climb to nearly 60 percent by 2030, in contrast to roughly 30 percent in 1950. Sub-Saharan Africa—where the urban proportion of population is below 50 percent—may have the highest rate of urban population growth, although Asian urban population...

  4. Feb 2, 2024 · The Global Risks Report 2024 presents the findings of the Global Risks Perception Survey (GRPS), which captures insights from nearly 1,500 global experts. The report analyses global risks through three time frames to support decision-makers in balancing current crises and longer-term priorities.

  5. Jan 15, 2024 · 15 Jan 2024. Origin. View original. Download Report (PDF | 12.58 MB) The Global Risks Report explores some of the most severe risks we may face over the next decade, against a backdrop of rapid...

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