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  1. Jun 29, 2023 · W e know that an all-out U.S.-Russia nuclear war would be bad. But how bad, exactly? How do your chances of surviving the explosions, radiation, and nuclear winter depend on where you live?

    • Max Tegmark
  2. Mar 7, 2024 · At the heart of all of this work is a chilling conclusion: The possibility of a nuclear strike, once inconceivable in modern conflict, is more likely now than at any other time since the Cold...

  3. Mar 11, 2022 · How do researchers gauge the probability and severity of nuclear war? Catastrophic risk expert Seth Baum explains.

    • Seth Baum
  4. Mar 23, 2022 · Russia's Invasion of Ukraine. What’s the Likelihood of Nuclear War? The Ukraine crisis isn’t as dangerous as the darkest moments of the Cold War, but the potential for mistakes and...

  5. Feb 27, 2022 · The Russian invasion has relied entirely on conventional weapons — tanks rattling down highways, bombers flying overhead, ships landing in the port city of Odesa — and experts told Vox that in the...

  6. Mar 4, 2024 · My goal is to develop a risk index that is straightforward to calculate and provides a rough estimation of the likelihood of a nuclear war. To achieve this, I intend to leverage existing, readily available statistics and manipulate them algebraically to approximate the nuclear war risk.

  7. Mar 7, 2023 · The world has lurched a step closer to the prospect of nuclear war, say researchers, after Russia declared last month that it would suspend its participation in its last major nuclear-arms...

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