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May 2, 2024 · When a single hypothesis remains, however improbable, it must be the truth. The description of this approach has been attributed to Arthur Conan Doyle’s detective Sherlock Holmes, Edgar Allan Poe’s ratiocinator C. Auguste Dupin, and Dorothy L. Sayers’s sleuth Lord Peter Wimsey.
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When you have eliminated the impossible what remains improbable must be the truth?
How do you use 'whatever remains improbable must be the truth'?
What remains however improbable based on a true story?
What if you have eliminated the impossible?
May 3, 2021 · when you have eliminated the impossible, whatever remains, however improbable, must be the truth, the "whatever remains" must still be significantly more probable than the sum of all initially-excluded possibilities.
- There's a fallacy called Holmesian fallacy . A Holmesian fallacy (also Sherlock Holmes fallacy or process of elimination fallacy) is a logical fall...
- Holmes' advice is correct if and only if you assume a complete search was done to list all possibilities before starting the elimination process. N...
- Deep down, mechanically, it's merely a false dilemma: assert that one of these options must be true and disprove all but one. A traditional false d...
- I think another point worth mentioning is that even if Holmes has correctly enumerated all possibilities, he is invoking the Law of the Excluded Mi...
- As you recognize yourself (and as many commentators repeat), Sherlock's reasoning is valid in principle but inapplicable unless you have actually c...
- This is closely related to abduction or inference to the best explanation. See the Stanford Encyclopedia of Philosophy entry.
- tl;dr – From a Bayesian perspective, we can take the Sherlock-Holmes method as being a reasonable approximation so long as inappropriate dismal of...
- I don't think there's a fallacy once you rule out the impossible however improbable it is it must be the truth. Modal Logic at its best. Improbable...
- If you read French, may I offer this hilarious excerpt from "Le Péril Bleu" (a 1911 proto-SciFi novel by M. Renard, I have no idea whether it has e...
"You will not apply my precept," he said, shaking his head. "How often have I said to you that when you have eliminated the impossible, whatever remains, however improbable, must be the truth? We know that he did not come through the door, the window, or the chimney.
Dec 4, 2023 · By systematically eliminating all the impossible options, what remains, no matter how improbable, must be the answer or truth. This straightforward interpretation highlights the logical value of the quote, asserting the power of critical thinking and the process of elimination.
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Sep 17, 2018 · Whatever Remains, However Improbable: Directed by Christine Moore. With Jonny Lee Miller, Lucy Liu, Jon Michael Hill, Desmond Harrington. Holmes works to find Rowan's murderer before Watson is charged with the crime.
May 22, 2012 · Once we clear out all the distractions, we can focus on what remains. Sometimes what is left is easy to believe, other times it can seem highly improbable. However, with the impossible eliminated, what remains are the only possible solutions. And one of them must be the truth.
