Search results
Apr 3, 2024 · Voters across seven swing states will likely decide who ultimately ends up in the White House in January 2025: incumbent President Joe Biden or former President Donald Trump. In many states...
May 17, 2024 · Of particular notice is that five of the 10 states most similar to the U.S. are swing states for 2024. Illinois is not a swing state, but the next three are: North Carolina, Georgia and...
The Swing State Project is a collaboration between the Cook Political Report, BSG, and the GS Strategy Group. Our goal is to better understand how voters in the seven key battleground states are evaluating the many cross-pressures of the presidential and down-ballot races in their states. In an election that features two well-known but ...
Mar 5, 2024 · The results in most states are predictable — leaving the contest to be settled in just a handful of states, which are about to be inundated with months of campaign ads, presidential visits...
- Swing States That Moved Sharply to The Right in 2016
- States That Movedjust Slightly to The Right in 2016
- Republican-Leaning States That Shifted to The Left in 2016
- Former Red States That Increasingly Vote Blue
- Some States Are Just Perennial Swing States
How much more Republican- or Democratic-leaning a state’s popular vote was than the national popular vote in presidential elections, and how the state is forecasted to vote in 2020, as of Aug. 25
Take Iowa and Ohio, which went from uber-competitive states to near blowouts for President Trump in 2016. Or Maine and Michigan, which hadn’t been allthat competitive in 2008 or 2012, but lurched to the right in 2016. In other words, 2016 marked a significant departure from how these states had voted in recent years; each state swung 7 points or more to the right, the biggest swings in that election. One explanation for why these four states moved so suddenly to the right is that they each ha...
How much more Republican- or Democratic-leaning a state’s popular vote was than the national popular vote in presidential elections, and how the state is forecasted to vote in 2020, as of Aug. 25
One reason why these states didn’t lurch as far to the right is that four of them3Minnesota, Nevada, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin.have at least one large metropolitan area that votes heavily Democratic. This offsets the rest of those states, which usually vote far more Republican. However, as was true in the first four states we looked at, there has been a slow yet noticeable move to the right in these four states over the last several elections. FiveThirtyEight’s forecast anticipates that some...
How much more Republican- or Democratic-leaning a state’s popular vote was than the national popular vote in presidential elections, and how the state is forecasted to vote in 2020, as of Aug. 25
Arizona, Georgia and Texas all moved at least 4 points to the left in 2016, and it’s possible they’ll move even farther in 2020. After all, the 2018 midterm elections showed these states could elect Democrats statewide, or at least, come very close. Democrats won a U.S. Senate seat in Arizona for the first time since 1988, while Republicans only narrowly won Texas’s Senate race and Georgia’s gubernatorial contest. What explains the leftward shift in these traditionally Republican states? For...
How much more Republican- or Democratic-leaning a state’s popular vote was than the national popular vote in presidential elections, and how the state is forecasted to vote in 2020, as of Aug. 25
Colorado’s population is about one-fifth Hispanic and Virginia’s is about one-fifth Black, and both are only about two-thirds white. And white voters in these states are more likely to hold at least a four-year college degree than in the other states we’ve examined. Driven by increasingly Democratic vote shares in suburban and urban areas — especially around Denver and Washington, D.C. — Colorado and Virginia have moved far enough to the left that, in an environment in which Joe Biden leads b...
How much more Republican- or Democratic-leaning a state’s popular vote was than the national popular vote in presidential elections, and how the state is forecasted to vote in 2020, as of Aug. 25
Florida is a hard state to categorize politically. It has an elderly population that usually leans toward the GOP, but it also has a large Hispanic and Black population that leans Democratic -- with the caveat that a large share of its Latino vote is Cuban American, a group that has shiftedtoward Democrats over the last decade but remains far more Republican-leaning than other groups of Latinos. North Carolina is also a swing state, even though it has a fairly consistent Republican lean. Nort...
Jun 16, 2023 · While there was some speculation that Texas was becoming a swing state in 2020, the margin between the Republican and Democratic vote was still 5.5 percentage points. An additional eight states switched party alignment from 1988 to 1992 but have voted for the same party every election since.
People also ask
Will Texas become a swing state in 2020?
Are swing states better predictors of election results?
What is a swing state?
How many swing states are there in 2024?
Oct 7, 2020 · Swing states, also known as battleground states or purple states, are highly competitive states that have historically swung between voting for different parties in presidential...
