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  1. Forecaster: Mosier. Issued: 16/0833Z. Valid: Fri 07/19 1200Z - Wed 07/24 1200Z. Note: A severe weather area depicted in the Day 4-8 period indicates a 15%, 30% or higher probability for severe thunderstorms (e.g. a 15%, 30% chance that a severe thunderstorm will occur within 25 miles of any point).

  2. 3 days ago · Greatest severe-thunderstorm threats within that are over parts of the central Plains and upper Ohio Valley to parts of the northern Mid-Atlantic and western New England. For additional details, see the latest Day 1 Convective Outlook. Overview.

  3. Current Convective Outlooks. Current Day 1 Outlook. Forecaster: Broyles. Issued: 09/0049Z. Valid: 09/0100Z - 09/1200Z. Forecast Risk of Severe Storms: Slight Risk. Current Day 2 Outlook. Forecaster: Mosier. Issued: 08/1712Z.

  4. CURRENT UTC TIME: 2138Z (2:38PM), RELOAD THIS PAGE TO UPDATE THE TIME. Severe weather, tornado, thunderstorm, fire weather, storm report, tornado watch, severe thunderstorm watch, mesoscale discussion, convective outlook products from the Storm Prediction Center.

  5. May 25, 2024 · Convective Outlooks; This is today's forecast for organized severe thunderstorms over the contiguous United States. Please read the description of the risk categories for further information. You may find the latest Day 1 Outlook available as well as all Outlooks issued today online. Today's Outlook

  6. Mar 16, 2020 · Example of a convective outlook from NOAA's Storm Prediction Center. Not a current forecast. These forecasts are based on current trends in satellite and radar imagery, weather model...

  7. 2 days ago · Severe weather, tornado, thunderstorm, fire weather, storm report, tornado watch, severe thunderstorm watch, mesoscale discussion, convective outlook products from the Storm Prediction Center. Jul 15, 2024 1300 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

  8. Convective outlooks are issued for the following eight days (issued separately for Day 1, Day 2, Day 3, and Days 4–8), and detail the risk of severe thunderstorms and tornadoes during the given...

  9. Nov 2, 2022 · The SPC Convective Outlook for Oct. 23, 2022. (NOAA Storm Prediction Center) For the general severe weather outlooks, the maps show areas of expected general thunderstorms, then paint risk on a 1-5 scale for increasingly dangerous outbreaks of severe weather.

  10. Jun 28, 2023 · STEP. On/Off. * These probability values were estimated from a 30-year period of severe weather reports from 1982-2011. The procedure to create the maps is as follows: 1. Reports for each day are put onto a grid 80 km x 80 km. 2. If one or more reports occur in a grid box, that box is assigned the value "1" for the day.

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