- The team, from the University of Tokyo, said there was a 75% probability that a magnitude seven quake would strike the region in the next four years. The government says the chances of such an event are 70% in the next 30 years.
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Mar 13, 2011 · After Wednesday morning, the chance of such an earthquake happening will be about 50 percent until 10 a.m. local time on Saturday. “Tsunami may occur after a strong aftershock. Be cautious when a tsunami warning or advisory is issued,” the seismological agency said in a statement.
Dec 20, 2017 · The Japanese government's earthquake research panel on Tuesday warned of a possibly "impending" magnitude-9 class quake in the Pacific off the eastern coast of Hokkaido, the northernmost of Japan's main islands, that would likely trigger a massive tsunami. A huge earthquake occurred about 400 years ago off the eastern side…
The correct answer is, “Either (nearly*) 0% or (nearly*) 100%, and you’ll only know after the dice have stopped moving.” The thing is that probability theory can’t be applied to a single roll, hence the answer I gave. I can predict the average of 10,000 rolls very reliably. I can predict the likelihood of an earthquake occurring on a day wit
Apr 21, 2022 · A long-term evaluation of active faults below the seabed in the southwestern part of the Sea of Japan for the first time for the 2022 report. The analysis indicates an 8-13% chance of a powerful earthquake with a probability of M7 or more occurring over the next 30 years on some of these active undersea faults.
One minor weather change is the downpour of rain near the volcano, due to the ashes’ ability to attract water vapor. A couple of other changes are the feared effects of lightning and perhaps thunder. One positive effect of an eruption is the fertile soils that land to be grown on.