Get a unique perspective of the Presidential Election with analysis around Republican and Democratic campaigns, debates, polls, election results, and more. ... By Nate Silver. Filed under 2020 ...
Nov 03, 2020 · Our 2020 forecasts — presidential, Senate, House — are all now officially frozen, meaning we won’t be ingesting any new polls or updating the odds in any race. Instead, follow along on our Election Day Live blog as we track results in real-time.
Nate Silver’s FiveThirtyEight uses statistical analysis — hard numbers — to tell compelling stories about elections, politics, sports, science, economics and lifestyle.
Welcome to FiveThirtyEight’s politics chat. The transcript below has been lightly edited. sarah (Sarah Frostenson, politics editor): We’re still more than a
4 days ago
Nov 11, 2020 · Nate Silver of FiveThirtyEight dismissed "the polls-were-wrong storyline" from the 2020 election, saying in a post on the site that, actually, they were "pretty normal by historical standards." He...
Apr 07, 2020 · FiveThirtyEight's polls and forecast for the 2020 Democratic presidential primary election. ... Forecast model by Nate Silver.
May 11, 2021 · Polls conducted after June 28, 2018, the date this page was published, are listed by the date that FiveThirtyEight collected them; polls conducted before then are listed under the last date that the poll was in the field. Polls from firms that are banned by FiveThirtyEight are not shown. Pollsters that did not release any horse-race polls ...
Jan 20, 2021 · When the dates of tracking polls from the same pollster overlap, only the most recent version is shown. Design and development by Aaron Bycoffe and Dhrumil Mehta . Statistical model by Nate Silver .
Nov 05, 2020 · MORE: Exit polls 2020: Preliminary results show presidential candidates split along gender lines in suburbs. In 2016, FiveThirtyEight caught a lot of flack for forecasting that Hillary Clinton had ...
Silver pointed out that FiveThirtyEight, which is a partner of ABC News, doesn’t conduct its own state polling, but “we try to prepare people to understand the chance that polls might be wrong.”
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