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Updated every four hours, this is an electoral map based on the then-current PredictIt market odds for the 2020 presidential election. Use the timeline feature to view the map based on the final update each day.
Updated every two hours, this is an electoral map projection derived from the FiveThirtyEight 2020 Election Forecast . Use the timeline feature to view the map as it looked at the end of each day. The Toss-Up tan color is used where neither candidate currently has a 65% or higher chance of winning.
Nov 3, 2020 · Still, even making what we think are fairly conservative assumptions, our final forecast has Biden with an 89 percent chance of winning the Electoral College, as compared to a 10 percent chance for...
Aug 12, 2020 · How FiveThirtyEight’s 2020 Presidential Forecast Works — And What’s Different Because Of COVID-19. By Nate Silver. Filed under 2020 Election. Our presidential forecast, which launched...
Leaning is <10%, likely <15%. Safe is 15% or higher. Use this map as a starting point to create and share your own 2020 presidential election forecast. Use this Map. 2020 Map Based on Polls (No Toss-ups) Updated three times daily, this map will track the electoral vote count based on polling, with no toss-ups (unless exactly tied).
Nov 13, 2020 · Based on 40,000 simulations, the midpoint estimate of the model provided by Nate Silver and FiveThirtyEight put Biden ahead by 348 electoral college votes to 190 for Trump, a margin of 158. The...
Nov 2, 2020 · (Odds imply 65.5% chance Biden will win) Who will win 2020 Election popular vote? Joe Biden: -675 odds. Donald Trump: +475 odds. (Odds imply 87.1% chance Bdien will win) Will the...
