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  1. 2 days ago · See the latest polls for the 2024 presidential election, including the matchup between Biden and Trump, the generic ballot, and the state polls. Compare the results by date, sample type, pollster, and sponsor.

    • National Polls

      Download the data. Download. When the dates of tracking...

    • About Us

      FiveThirtyEight uses statistical analysis - hard numbers -...

    • Interactives

      FiveThirtyEight uses statistical analysis - hard numbers -...

    • Race for The Senate

      Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight...

  2. Latest 538 Headlines. April 16. The far right claims there's a 'uniparty' in Washington. Reality suggests otherwise. Democrats and Republicans have grown farther apart — and Americans know it ...

  3. Jun 8, 2021 · How did FiveThirtyEight's models perform in predicting the 2020 outcomes for the presidency, Senate and House? What challenges and opportunities lie ahead for 2022? Read the analysis by Nate Silver, founder of FiveThirtyEight.

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