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3 days ago · 538’s 2024 presidential election forecast model showing Democrat Kamala Harris’s and Republican Donald Trump’s chances of winning.
It will take 270 electoral votes to win the 2024 presidential election. Click states on this interactive map to create your own 2024 election forecast. Create a specific match-up by clicking the party and/or names near the electoral vote counter. Use the buttons below the map to share your forecast or embed it into a web page.
3 days ago · An interactive electoral map derived from 538's probabilistic model for the 2024 presidential election.
Sep 9, 2024 · Harris carries the Rust Belt. Harris wins Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin, matching Biden’s 2020 outcome in those states. Use our "what-if" tool to pick a winner in each state and see how it...
It takes at least 270 electoral votes to win the presidency. Plot each candidate’s best path to victory on our interactive map below.
3 days ago · An interactive electoral map derived from FiveThirtyEight's probabilistic model for the 2020 presidential election.
Aug 9, 2021 · FiveThirtyEight uses statistical analysis - hard numbers - to tell compelling stories about elections, politics and American society.
Nov 3, 2020 · Choose whether President Trump or Joe Biden will win each state in the 2020 presidential election and we’ll recalculate whether they have a path to 270 electoral votes and what their chance is...
538 ranks current polls by accuracy and gives more weight to polls deemed more reliable and adds its own proprietary analysis that introduces geographic and demographic to suggest particular outcomes, state-by-state.
Apr 23, 2024 · It focuses on the states that are expected to be most competitive in the effort by the campaigns to get to 270 electoral votes, a majority of the 538 total available. There are a number of...
