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Nate Silver is the author of "The Signal and the Noise" and the founder of FiveThirtyEight, a website that covers politics, data and analysis. Read his latest posts on topics such as politics, elections, AI and more.
2 days ago · See the latest polls for the 2024 general election between Biden and Trump in key states like Georgia and North Carolina. Compare the results, sample sizes, pollsters and dates of different surveys.
Is an election vibe shift underway? | 538 Politics Podcast. Biden's approval rating is up, and Trump's favorability rating is down. March 25.
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We use data and evidence to advance public knowledge — adding certainty where we can and uncertainty where we must.
The values we aspire to in our journalism … 1. Empiricism— We base our stories on evidence. We use many different kinds of evidence — data, reporting, first-hand experience, academic research, etc — but we also interrogate it for underlying biases. 2. Accuracy and completeness — Our primary standard is: “Is this accurate and does it present as comp...
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Nov 8, 2022 · See the latest projections for the 2022 midterm elections from Nate Silver and his team. Find out which party is favored to win the Senate, House and governors races, and explore the scenarios and data behind the model.
Nate Silver. Nathaniel Read Silver (born January 13, 1978) is an American statistician, writer, and poker player who analyzes baseball (see sabermetrics ), basketball, and elections (see psephology ). He is the founder of FiveThirtyEight, and held the position of editor-in-chief there, along with being a special correspondent for ABC News ...
Nov 3, 2020 · Biden is favored to win the popular vote and the Electoral College, but Trump could still pull off an upset with a small polling error. See how the map would change with different scenarios and the sources of uncertainty in the race.