Search results
2 days ago · The position of the flag indicates whether the organization is partisan. Organizations are considered partisan if they operate on behalf of a candidate, party, campaign committee, PAC, super PAC, hybrid PAC, 501(c)(4), 501(c)(5) or 501(c)(6) organization that conducts a large majority of its political activity on behalf of one political party.
4 days ago · An updating average, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects. July 1, 2022 Aug. 1 Sept. 1 Oct. 1 Nov. 1 30 40 50 60% Murray 49.6% Smiley 44.9% Election Day Nov. 8, 2022 Nov. 8, 2022 leader Nov. 8, 2022 leader Murray Murray +4.7. Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.”.
5 days ago · Download. When the dates of tracking polls from the same pollster overlap, only the most recent version is shown. Data for FiveThirtyEight's previous favorability, presidential approval and national 2024 Republican primary averages is available for download here. Notice any bugs or missing polls?
2 days ago · Download the data. When the dates of tracking polls from the same pollster overlap, only the most recent version is shown. Data for FiveThirtyEight's previous favorability, presidential approval and national 2024 Republican primary averages is available for download here. Notice any bugs or missing polls?
4 days ago · An updating average, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects. Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.”. Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates ...
1 day ago · An updating average, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects. Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.”. Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates ...
Nate Silver's FiveThirtyEight delivers analysis of politics from campaign fundraising to election day and beyond. Members Online The long, strange political shadow of 2020
