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3 days ago · The position of the flag indicates whether the organization is partisan. Organizations are considered partisan if they operate on behalf of a candidate, party, campaign committee, PAC, super PAC, hybrid PAC, 501(c)(4), 501(c)(5) or 501(c)(6) organization that conducts a large majority of its ...
- National
The position of the flag indicates whether the organization...
- How Popular is Joe Biden
Latest polls on President Joe Biden’s approval ratings
- 2020 Election Forecast
Nov. 3, 2020. Our 2020 forecasts — presidential, Senate,...
- Nate Silver
Nate Silver. @natesilver538. Nate Silver founded and was the...
- National
Nov 3, 2020 · FiveThirtyEight has issued its final presidential forecast.There hasn’t been a lot of change over the past 24 or 48 hours, as most of the late polling either came in close to our previous ...
Apr 17, 2024 · June, with some chance of late May if I can get my ducks in a row. This is my typical schedule: in 2016, we launched the FiveThirtyEight presidential model in late June. And in 2020, we launched our presidential polling averages in late June but, amidst the pressures of the pandemic, didn’t turn the full model on until early August.
538 uses statistical analysis — hard numbers — to tell compelling stories about elections, politics, economics, and American society.
Apr 4, 2024 · In 2020, 61 percent of voters between the ages of 18 and 29 voted for Biden, according to our analysis of Census Bureau data, polling and the statewide results of the election. 34 percent voted for Trump, and 5 percent voted for independents. But if turnout among the group drops by 10 percentage points and third-party voting increases by 4 ...
