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  1. 2 days ago · The position of the flag indicates whether the organization is partisan. Organizations are considered partisan if they operate on behalf of a candidate, party, campaign committee, PAC, super PAC, hybrid PAC, 501(c)(4), 501(c)(5) or 501(c)(6) organization that conducts a large majority of its political activity on behalf of one political party.

    • Nate Silver

      Nate Silver. @natesilver538. Nate Silver founded and was the...

  2. 4 days ago · Jan. 1, 2022 Jan. 1, 2023 Jan. 1, 2024 20 30 40 50 60 70 80% Unfavorable 53.2% Favorable 42.1% May 6, 2024 May 6, 2024 Unfavorable Unfavorable +11.1. KEY. ESTIMATE. 95% OF POLLS PROJECTED TO FALL IN THIS RANGE. In November 2023, we made changes to the way we calculate our polling averages. Read the full methodology here.

  3. Jan 10, 2023 · Download. Polls from firms that are banned by FiveThirtyEight are not shown. Pollsters that did not release any horse-race polls within three weeks of an election since 1998 do not have a grade and are treated as a C+ by the grade filter. When the dates of tracking polls from the same pollster overlap, only the most recent version is shown.

  4. Nov 3, 2020 · Nov. 3, 2020. Our 2020 forecasts — presidential, Senate, House — are all now officially frozen, meaning we won’t be ingesting any new polls or updating the odds in any race. Instead, follow along on our Election Day Live blog as we track results in real-time. At the end of a loooooong campaign, here’s where we stand: Joe Biden is ...

  5. Feb 3, 2017 · 14 Versions Of Trump’s Presidency, From #MAGA To Impeachment. By Nate Silver. Filed under The Trump Administration. When faced with highly uncertain conditions, military units and major ...

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