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  1. Jan 9, 2023 · In our NFL research, we found that the ideal K-factor for predicting future games is 20 — large enough that new results carry weight, but not so large that the ratings bounce around each week ...

  2. Feb 15, 2023 · Filed under NFL. Feb. 15, 2023. Patrick Mahomes Earned A Huge Raise. So The Chiefs Got Creative With Their Roster-Building. By Alex Kirshner. Filed under Super Bowl LVII. Feb. 13, 2023.

  3. Feb 7, 2021 · FiveThirtyEight's 2020 NFL forecast uses an Elo-based model to calculate each team's chances of advancing to the playoffs and winning the Super Bowl. UPDATED Feb. 7, 2021, at 10:15 PM 2020 NFL...

  4. Sep 7, 2021 · To help forecast that (and all of the odd-looking records it will produce), we’ve refreshed our NFL predictions with offseason roster moves, the upcoming slate of games and a slight model tweak...

  5. fivethirtyeight.com › newsletter › nfl-predictions-reminder-2023/01/27NFL Predictions - FiveThirtyEight

    Jan 27, 2023 · NFL Predictions. Friday, January 27, 2023. It’s another week of NFL games — and another chance to beat FiveThirtyEight at its own game. Click the button below to take your shot. Play the game.

  6. Jan 10, 2024 · The San Francisco 49ers (12-4) have clinched a playoff berth. The Los Angeles Rams (9-7) have clinched a playoff berth. The Seattle Seahawks (8-8) lost to the Pittsburgh Steelers in Week 17 ...

  7. Sep 8, 2021 · Every week of the NFL season — including the playoffs — you can decide whether you agree or disagree with FiveThirtyEight’s forecast and then make your own using our interactive game.

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