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  1. Be sure to follow us on Twitter and Facebook. FiveThirtyEight uses statistical analysis - hard numbers - to tell compelling stories about elections, politics and American society.

  2. May 2, 2024 · Polls ending April 28, 2024. U.S. Senate, Wisconsin, 2024, General election. April 25-29. 1,000. RV. April 25-29. 1,000 RV. Emerson College. The Hill, Nexstar.

  3. 4 days ago · Do Americans approve or disapprove of Joe Biden? In November 2023, we made changes to the way we calculate our polling averages. Read the full methodology here. Sort by date.

  4. Nov 3, 2020 · His lead is larger than Clinton’s in every battleground state, and more than double her lead nationally. Our model forecasts Biden to win the popular vote by 8 percentage points, 1 more than ...

  5. Feb 12, 2023 · FiveThirtyEight's 2022 NFL forecast uses an Elo-based model to calculate each team's chances of advancing to the playoffs and winning the Super Bowl. UPDATED Feb. 12, 2023, at 10:17 PM 2022 NFL Predictions

  6. Feb 2, 2023 · The Latest Updates On The 2024 Republican Presidential Primary. Ryan Best, Cooper Burton, Aaron Bycoffe, Chris Groskopf, Alex Kimball, Humera Lodhi, Mary Radcliffe and Maya Sweedler. Aug 24, 2023.

  7. Nov 8, 2022 · By Nate Silver. Nov. 8, 2022, at 2:20 AM. ILLUSTRATION BY EMILY SCHERER / GETTY IMAGES. When we launched our midterms forecast on June 30, Republicans had a 53 percent chance of taking over the ...

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