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  1. 538 uses statistical analysis to tell compelling stories about elections, politics, science and life.

  2. 2 days ago · How Biden compares with past presidents. Approval rating Disapproval rating Net approval. 1,206 days. 4 years. 8 years. Donald Trump 2017-2021. Barack Obama 2009-17. George W. Bush 2001-09. Bill Clinton 1993-2001.

  3. Nov 13, 2023 · Convincing Biden to step aside would not be easy. Running a race against him if he didn’t step down would be messy, with little guarantee of who would emerge victorious other than that it might be Biden anyway, worse for battle wear. Then there’s the whole question of what might happen to Vice President Harris.

  4. Nov 8, 2016 · Forecast models by Nate Silver. Research by Jennifer Kanjana and Dhrumil Mehta. Design and development by Jay Boice, Aaron Bycoffe, Matthew Conlen, Reuben Fischer-Baum, Ritchie King, Ella Koeze, Allison McCann, Andrei Scheinkman and Gus Wezerek. Candidate portraits by Kristina Micotti. Have thoughts on our forecast? Notice any bugs or missing ...

  5. Apr 2, 2024 · Nate Silver. But many Americans — and many people around the world — disagree. Florida was the fastest-growing state between 2021 and 2022, with both substantially positive domestic net migration and the highest rate 1 of international migration of any state. It was also among the fastest-growing states in 2023.

  6. Nov 2, 2022 · Nate Silver founded and was the editor in chief of FiveThirtyEight. @natesilver538. Filed under. 2022 Election (355 posts) Election Update (270) Comments. Latest Interactives. More in 2022 Election.

  7. Jan 4, 2024 · Here's what's in place — including a new book and this newsletter — and what's still up in the air. Nate Silver. Jan 04, 2024. 168. 57. Share. 2023 was one of the best years I’ve had in a long time. My main focus was my book — more about that in a moment — and getting this newsletter off the ground. It’s highly fulfilling when ideas ...

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