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May 15, 2024 · About. Book. Research. Writing. Projects. Media. Earth. Writing. Robust longterm comparisons. May 15, 2024Toby Ord. The choice of discount rate is crucially important when comparing options that could affect our entire future. Except when it isn’t.
5 days ago · The movement developed during the 2000s, and the name effective altruism was coined in 2011. Philosophers influential to the movement include Peter Singer, Toby Ord, and William MacAskill. What began as a set of evaluation techniques advocated by a diffuse coalition evolved into an identity. [4]
1 day ago · Toby Ord, The Lindy Effect. Nassim Taleb popularised the idea of the ‘Lindy effect’. Nassim Taleb popularised the idea of the ‘Lindy effect’. He doesn’t give a precise formulation, but it’s something like: things that have been around for a very long time are likely to persist for a long time into the future.
May 10, 2024 · In the book “The Precipice: Existential Risk and the Future of Humanity,” Toby Ord uses the term “precipice” as a metaphor for the delicate current state of humanity, perched on the brink of facing existential catastrophes with an imminent probability of occurrence at 16.67%.
Apr 24, 2024 · They spent several months at the Centre for the Study of Existential Risk, wrote for the Future of Life Institute and have been a visiting scholar at Oxford’s Future of Humanity Institute, home to prominent futurists such as Nick Bostrom and Toby Ord. Then, in 2019, they changed their views quite radically, suddenly becoming a critic.
May 15, 2024 · New technologies like the personal computer, the Internet, and the Human Genome Project were inspiring a new generation of transhumanists. Out of this milieu, philosophers like Nick Bostrom, Will MacAskill, and Toby Ord were laying the groundwork for what would become the rationalist and effective altruist movements.
May 1, 2024 · Players: 1. 52. A straightforward but challenging solitaire game with similarities to Spider, by Toby Ord. Class: Solitaire card games. Browse classification network. ⭐⭐⭐ Difficulty. ️ ️ Popularity. 🔥️🔥️🔥️ Trend. Contributed by Toby Ord. This is a single deck game with similarities to spider.
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