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Sep 1, 2021 · The English language debate ahead of the 2021 federal election will air on Sept. 9 while the French-language debate will air the previous day — Sept. 8. Politics Sep 1, 2021
Sep 1, 2021 · The English language debate ahead of the 2021 federal election will air on Sept. 9 while the French-language debate will air the previous day — Sept. 8.
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International IDEA’s Electoral Processes workstream supports the protection and strengthening of elections. Key areas of focus: the tools and practices of electoral assistance. In 2023, International IDEA (as a steering committee member) joined USAID and electoral assistance organizations around the world, in launching the Global Network for ...
- Visualizing A Closely Divided Electorate
- Simulating Two Versions of Political Support Among The Public
- We Want Different Things from Opinion Polls and Election Polls
- Limitations of This Analysis
Election polling in closely divided electorates like those in the U.S. right now demands a very high degree of precision from polling. Sizable differences in the margin between the candidates can result from relatively small errors in the composition of the sample. Changing a small share of the sample can make a big difference in the margin between...
To demonstrate the range of possible error in issue polling that could result from errors like those seen in 2020 election polling, we conducted a simulation that produced two versions of several of our opinion surveys from 2020, similar to the manipulation depicted in the hypothetical example shown above. One version included exactly the correct s...
Not all applications of polling serve the same purpose. We expect and need more precision from election polls because the circumstances demand it. In a closely divided electorate, a few percentage points matter a great deal. In a poll that gauges opinions on an issue, an error of a few percentage points typically will not matter for the conclusions...
One strength of this analysis is that the election is over, and it’s not necessary to guess at what Trump support ought to have been in these surveys. And by using respondents’ self-reported vote choice measured after the election, we avoid complications from respondents who may have changed their minds between taking the survey and casting their b...
May 17, 2023 · Newly published polling results suggest the race to become premier remains incredibly close and that Thursday night's event could play a factor in the political contest.
2020 Electoral College Map. Presidential candidates need 270 electoral votes to win an election. Click on this interactive map to create your own projections for the 2020 presidential race, see ...
Jan 5, 2024 · A global pandemic. A siege at the Capitol. A reality TV star in the White House. In just the last few years, we’ve watched the unthinkable become real. We think we have a firm grasp on what’s ...
