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Be sure to follow us on Twitter and Facebook. FiveThirtyEight uses statistical analysis - hard numbers - to tell compelling stories about elections, politics and American society.
3 days ago · Design and development by Ryan Best, Aaron Bycoffe, Holly Fuong, Christopher Groskopf, Ritchie King, Ella Koeze, Dhrumil Mehta, Jasmine Mithani, Mary Radcliffe, Anna Wiederkehr and Julia Wolfe. Statistical model by G. Elliott Morris.
Nov 3, 2020 · His lead is larger than Clinton’s in every battleground state, and more than double her lead nationally. Our model forecasts Biden to win the popular vote by 8 percentage points, 1 more than ...
4 days ago · Polls ending April 28, 2024. U.S. Senate, Wisconsin, 2024, General election. April 25-29. 1,000. RV. April 25-29. 1,000 RV. Emerson College. The Hill, Nexstar.
Nov 8, 2022 · By Nate Silver. Nov. 8, 2022, at 2:20 AM. ILLUSTRATION BY EMILY SCHERER / GETTY IMAGES. When we launched our midterms forecast on June 30, Republicans had a 53 percent chance of taking over the ...
Feb 2, 2023 · The Latest Updates On The 2024 Republican Presidential Primary. Ryan Best, Cooper Burton, Aaron Bycoffe, Chris Groskopf, Alex Kimball, Humera Lodhi, Mary Radcliffe and Maya Sweedler. Aug 24, 2023.
538, originally rendered as FiveThirtyEight, is an American website that focused on opinion poll analysis, politics, economics, and sports blogging in the United States. Founder Nate Silver left in April 2023. On September 18, 2023, the original website domain at fivethirtyeight.com was closed and web traffic became redirected to ABC News pages.
