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  1. Be sure to follow us on Twitter and Facebook. FiveThirtyEight uses statistical analysis - hard numbers - to tell compelling stories about elections, politics and American society.

  2. 5 days ago · Polls ending April 28, 2024. U.S. Senate, Wisconsin, 2024, General election. April 25-29. 1,000. RV. April 25-29. 1,000 RV. Emerson College. The Hill, Nexstar.

  3. Nov 3, 2020 · His lead is larger than Clinton’s in every battleground state, and more than double her lead nationally. Our model forecasts Biden to win the popular vote by 8 percentage points, 1 more than ...

  4. Feb 2, 2023 · Interactive graphics and data visualization from FiveThirtyEight. 538 Interactives. Projects, dashboards, forecasts and more. Live updating forecasts and dashboards.

  5. 4 days ago · When the dates of tracking polls from the same pollster overlap, only the most recent version is shown. Design and development by Ryan Best, Aaron Bycoffe, Holly Fuong, Christopher Groskopf, Ritchie King, Ella Koeze, Dhrumil Mehta, Jasmine Mithani, Mary Radcliffe, Anna Wiederkehr and Julia Wolfe. Statistical model by G. Elliott Morris.

  6. Mar 10, 2023 · We analyzed virtually all polls conducted in the final 21 days 1 before every presidential, U.S. Senate, U.S. House and gubernatorial general election, and every presidential primary, since 1998 ...

  7. Feb 12, 2023 · FiveThirtyEight's 2022 NFL forecast uses an Elo-based model to calculate each team's chances of advancing to the playoffs and winning the Super Bowl. UPDATED Feb. 12, 2023, at 10:17 PM 2022 NFL Predictions

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