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  1. 2 days ago · Who’s ahead in Florida? Updating average for each candidate in 2024 presidential polls, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.

  2. 3 days ago · What are the latest polls in Florida? We adjust polls for house effects, mode, partisanship, voter likelihood and third parties and weight them based on their firm’s 538 pollster rating and...

    • G. Elliott Morris
  3. Sep 10, 2024 · An interactive electoral map derived from 538's probabilistic model for the 2024 presidential election.

  4. Sep 9, 2024 · This feature shows the most recent election where the state voted with or against the presidential winner in each party. Click the year to see the corresponding electoral map and results. Florida Winner

  5. 1 day ago · Overview and Live Results: Florida, Alaska, and Wyoming primaries. Just a handful of 2024 primaries will remain after Tuesday's contests. The most recent polls for the 2024 presidential election. Includes links to all available 2024 polls and polling averages.

  6. 1 day ago · Stay updated on how Vice President Kamala Harris and President Donald Trump are doing in the Florida 2024 Presidential election polls.

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  8. 538 uses statistical analysis — hard numbers — to tell compelling stories about elections, politics, economics, and American society.

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