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1 day ago · Updating average for each candidate in 2024 presidential polls, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects. Polling averages are adjusted based on state and national polls, which means candidates’ averages can shift even if no new polls have been added to this page. Read the full methodology here.
FiveThirtyEight
Apr 11, 2024 · In the latter scenario, if there are multiple qualifying polls on the same calendar date as the oldest poll used, those will also be included. When did it last happen? This feature shows the most recent election where the state voted with or against the presidential winner in each party.
Decision Desk HQ and The Hill are tracking polls leading up to all presidential, Senate, and House primaries and the general election on November 5th, 2024. Read our polling average methodology here. Below are the latest polls in Florida, but you can also navigate to other states and topics using the drop-downs above.
Jun 13, 2023 · FiveThirtyEight uses statistical analysis - hard numbers - to tell compelling stories about elections, politics and American society.
Mar 6, 2023 · The picture remains fuzzy, but the 2024 presidential candidate field is starting to come into focus. As the nomination contests develop over the coming months, FiveThirtyEight will naturally be ...
