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  1. 2020 Election Forecast | FiveThirtyEight › 2020-election-forecast

    Nov 03, 2020 · Our 2020 forecasts — presidential, Senate, House — are all now officially frozen, meaning we won’t be ingesting any new polls or updating the odds in any race. Instead, follow along on our Election Day Live blog as we track results in real-time.

  2. Florida. Comparing Economist and Fivethirtyeight forecasts ... › 2020/08/27

    Aug 27, 2020 · I was going to say that this increased uncertainty comes from the Fivethirtyeight model assuming that 2020 is a particularly unpredictable election, but I guess not, because here’s Nate saying, “this year’s uncertainty is about average, which means that the historical accuracy of polls in past campaigns is a reasonably good guide to how ...

  3. 2020 Florida Presidential Election Odds: Trump Takes Huge Lead › politics › florida-election

    Nov 04, 2020 · With 29 of the 538 total electoral votes, Florida is tied with New York for the third-most in the country, making it historically among the most important battleground states in each presidential election cycle. In fact, Florida has voted against the eventual winner only twice in the 22 presidential elections since 1928.

  4. RealClearPolitics - Florida General Election Polls › epolls › 2020

    RealClearPolitics - Florida General Election Polls. Subscribe. Sign In | Subscribe Ad-Free. Polls. Florida General Election Polls ... Poll Date Sample MoE. Trump (R) Sanders (D) Spread; RCP ...

  5. More on that Fivethirtyeight prediction that Biden might only ... › 2020/08/31 › more

    Aug 31, 2020 · Polls are vote intentions, and any validation of these models is based on past elections, where sure there have been some gaps between vote intentions and the official vote count (notably Florida in 2000), but nothing like what it would take to get a candidate’s vote share from, say, 47% down to 42%.

  6. Pollster Ratings | FiveThirtyEight › pollster-ratings

    Mar 25, 2021 · How this works: FiveThirtyEight’s pollster ratings are calculated by analyzing the historical accuracy of each polling organization’s polls along with its methodology. Accuracy scores are adjusted for the type of election polled, the poll’s sample size, the performance of other polls surveying the same race and other factors.

  7. Florida Presidential Election Results and Maps 2020 › 2020 › results

    Florida has voted Republican in 12 of the last 17 presidential elections (dating back to 1952). The last Republican to win the White House without winning Florida was Calvin Coolidge in 1924.

  8. Florida Presidential Polls 2020 - CNN › election › 2020

    STATE POLLING. Polls shown below track voters’ 2020 presidential election views in Florida. Polls are only displayed here if they meet CNN’s standards for reporting.

  9. Poll: Ron DeSantis, Nikki Fried in dead heat › archives › 414823-florida

    Mar 25, 2021 · FiveThirtyEight and RealClearPolitics both include results from St. Pete Polls surveys in their nationally watched polling aggregates.. The only other poll taken this year included by either ...

  10. Why election polls were so wrong again in 2020 › article › the-real-reason-election

    Nov 13, 2020 · Baris’ final poll of Florida gave Trump a 2-point lead — one percentage point shy of the president’s 3-point victory there. In contrast, the New York Times/Siena poll predicted a 3-point win ...

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