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  1. 1 day ago · Updating average for each candidate in 2024 presidential polls, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects. Polling averages are adjusted based on state and national polls, which means candidates’ averages can shift even if no new polls have been added to this page. Read the full methodology here. Sort by date.

  2. 2 days ago · The latest political polls and polling averages from FiveThirtyEight. ... An updating average of 2020 presidential general election polls, accounting for each poll ...

  3. 538 uses statistical analysis — hard numbers — to tell compelling stories about elections, politics, economics, and American society.

  4. 1 day ago · What are the odds Democrats will win the popular vote? The 538 crew plays a game of “Buy, Sell, Hold” and puts their wisdom to the test. May 9, 2024

  5. Jun 13, 2023 · FiveThirtyEight uses statistical analysis - hard numbers - to tell compelling stories about elections, politics and American society.

  6. Apr 25, 2024 · Specifically, as of April 25 at 9 a.m. Eastern, our national polling average shows 40.9 percent of likely voters would support Biden if the election were held today, while 41.6 percent would ...

  7. Sep 9, 2020 · Case in point, despite losing ground in Pennsylvania, Biden got a great poll there today from NBC News/Marist College, which found him with a 9-point lead among likely voters, whereas a poll from ...

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