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3 days ago · Updating average for each candidate in 2024 presidential polls, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects. Polling averages are adjusted based on state and national polls, which means candidates’ averages can shift even if no new polls have been added to this page. Read the full methodology here. Sort by date.
2 days ago · The position of the flag indicates whether the organization is partisan. Organizations are considered partisan if they operate on behalf of a candidate, party, campaign committee, PAC, super PAC, hybrid PAC, 501(c)(4), 501(c)(5) or 501(c)(6) organization that conducts a large majority of its political activity on behalf of one political party.
Decision Desk HQ and The Hill are tracking polls leading up to all presidential, Senate, and House primaries and the general election on November 5th, 2024. Read our polling average methodology here. Below are the latest polls in Florida, but you can also navigate to other states and topics using the drop-downs above.
538 uses statistical analysis — hard numbers — to tell compelling stories about elections, politics, economics, and American society.
Apr 11, 2024 · If there are fewer than five, the window is expanded to 30 days or five polls, whichever comes first. In the latter scenario, if there are multiple qualifying polls on the same calendar date as the oldest poll used, those will also be included.
Jun 13, 2023 · FiveThirtyEight uses statistical analysis - hard numbers - to tell compelling stories about elections, politics and American society.
