Search results
2 days ago · Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.
2 days ago · Updating average for each candidate in 2024 presidential polls, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects. Polling averages are adjusted based on state and national polls, which means candidates’ averages can shift even if no new polls have been added to this page. Read the full methodology here. Sort by date.
1 day ago · Updating average for each candidate in 2024 presidential polls, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects. Polling averages are adjusted based on state and national polls, which means candidates’ averages can shift even if no new polls have been added to this page. Read the full methodology here. Sort by date.
2 days ago · Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.”. Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.
1 day ago · Florida Atlantic Uni... 49.1%. Trump. 38.9%. Biden. +10 Trump. + More Polls. The polling bias for the 2016 and 2020 Presidential elections is based on analysis from the American Association of Public Opinion Research (AAPOR) comparing actual results to national polls. For the 2018 and 2022 elections, bias was measured by comparing ...
Apr 4, 2024 · In 2020, 61 percent of voters between the ages of 18 and 29 voted for Biden, according to our analysis of Census Bureau data, polling and the statewide results of the election. 34 percent voted for Trump, and 5 percent voted for independents. But if turnout among the group drops by 10 percentage points and third-party voting increases by 4 ...
Mar 6, 2023 · We’ve been monitoring former President Donald Trump’s favorability rating since 2021, but we’ve now added polling for three other declared or would-be GOP contenders: Florida Gov. Ron ...
