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Oct 26, 2022 · Jacobson points out that in the current lead-up to the midterms, there is an exceptionally “wide gap between presidential approval and voting intentions, with the Democrats’ support on...
Nov 9, 2022 · But Democrats held their own in brutal political conditions. A President’s party has not been this successful in a midterm election since Republicans won the 2002 midterms in the wake of...
- Molly Ball
- 52 sec
Nov 9, 2022 · DeSantis won. The results largely followed the outline of what I’ve called a “double negative” election. On balance, voter dissatisfaction with Biden’s performance meant that Democrats faced more...
- Democrats Won The Most Competitive Races Thanks to Turnout
- Despite History, Young Voters Showed Up
- Women Voters Propelled Democrats in Contested Races
- Democrats Actually Made Limited InRoads with Non-College Voters
- A Warning Sign with Black Voters
We already know that Democrats overperformed in 2022: They won five of the six Senate races POLITICO rated as “toss ups” going into Election Day, along with four of five governor’s races and 20 of 26 House races. Strategists and analysts have settled on a number of explanations for the results, particularly an examination of “candidate quality” iss...
Americans under 30 made up one-in-10 voters, down slightly from 12 percent in 2018. But branching out to the Millennial and Gen-Z generations, they made up 26 percent of the electorate, up from 23 percent four years earlier. What’s also notable about young voters is that — despite the historical penalty typically paid by the party in power — Democr...
Nationally, women voters in 2022 shifted slightly to Republicans by about 2 points, about half the margin of the shift among men, 4 points. But in the most competitive races, Democrats increased their vote share among women by 2 points — and 4 points among women without a college degree — the Catalist report shows. “It is plausible that Democrats w...
For much of the past two decades, the phenomenon that has best explained our politics has been the realignment of white voters along educational lines. Trump accelerated the movement of less-educated voters to the GOP, but it was already well under way when George W. Bush and Barack Obama were on the ballot. But Catalist’s findings are a bit counte...
Black voters remain the most loyal members of Democrats’ coalition, but there are signs of fraying. Democratic candidates won 88 percent of Black voters in 2022, down from 91 percent in 2020. Some of the biggest slides came among younger Black voters, a group that’s less likely to approve of Biden’s job performance than other Democratic-friendly co...
Sep 19, 2022 · The midterms showed American democracy won’t go down without a fight; Why so many “election deniers” lost in 2022; Democrats’ quietly effective strategy for defeating election deniers
- Fabiola Cineas
Apr 29, 2021 · Midterms don’t typically produce significant losses for the president’s party in Senate elections, but they are very much the rule in the House. Assuming there are no surprises in any of the ...
Jul 27, 2022 · Since the court overruled Roe v. Wade, most polls have shown approximately a three-point shift in the Democrats’ direction on the generic ballot, which asks whether voters would prefer...
