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Sep 14, 2020 · Guillen explains the demographic, economic and technological changes we can expect to see across the world in the next decade. In his new book, “ 2030: How Today’s Biggest Trends Will Collide and Reshape the Future of Everything, ” Guillen discusses how these changes will affect us in the years to come.
Sep 10, 2021 · "Everything in the world," Cascio said, "every future outcome will have to be examined through the lens of climate." In the future, climate change may only get worse. But how much worse will it get?
- Russia as We Know It May Not Survive The Coming Decade
- Expect A Chinese Military Offensive Against Taiwan
- US-Chinese Decoupling May Not Be as Dramatic as We Think It Will Be
- The United States Will Remain Powerful But Not Hegemonic
- Get Ready For Even Greater Global Volatility
- Democracies Will Face A Difficult Decade of Systemic Dangers
One of the most surprising takeaways was how many respondents pointed to a potential Russian collapse over the next decade—suggesting that the Kremlin’s war against Ukraine could precipitate hugely consequential upheaval in a great power with the largest nuclear-weapons arsenal on the planet. Nearly half (46 percent) of respondents expect Russia to...
Recently, US officials have been warningthat China could launch a military campaign to reunify Taiwan with the mainland on a faster-than-anticipated schedule between now and 2027. And our survey results support that dire assessment. Fully 70 percent of respondents agree—though just 12 percent strongly agree—that China will seek to forcibly retake T...
There has been a lot of talk about “decoupling,” or efforts to disentangle the US and Chinese economies. But the experts we surveyed delivered a clear verdict: Full-blown decoupling is very unlikely. Despite all the geopolitical tensions and tit-for-tat trade restrictions between the two countries, the most likely outcome (according to roughly 40 p...
Respondents generally expressed a belief in the United States’ staying power over the next ten years, though many envisioned a country preeminent in some domains of national clout but not others. Seven in ten foresee the United States continuing to be the world’s dominant military power by 2033—a notably high percentage given concerns about China’s...
One remarkable survey result is how many respondents expect the world to face additional economic and public-health perils in the coming decade. Seventy-six percent predict another global economic crisis on the scale of the 2008-2009 financial crisis by 2033. A further 19 percent say that there will be two or more such crises. Forty-nine percent fo...
Democracies are entering a dangerous decade in which they will need to contend with nationalist and populist forces and all the challenges associated with rapidly evolving technology. When asked which social movements they expected to have the most political influence worldwide over the next ten years, only 5 percent of respondents chose pro-democr...
- The vaccine miracle—and cautionary message. The development of COVID-19 vaccines was remarkably rapid, with those most vulnerable to the virus in rich countries inoculated within a year of the pandemic breaking out.
- Technology’s double-edged sword. If science came out of the pandemic a winner, technology was a close second. Without computers and connectivity, the lockdowns could have ground most economic activity to halt.
- Here comes deglobalization. The developing world has lost many of the benefits of globalization—at least for the time being. A significant portion of the once-rising global middle class slid back into poverty as a result of the pandemic and its economic ramifications, reversing perhaps humanity’s biggest achievement in recent decades.
- The deepening of domestic disorders. Today there is more inequality not just between developed and developing countries, but also within many of these countries themselves.
Feb 18, 2021 · |. February 18, 2021. Experts Say the ‘New Normal’ in 2025 Will Be Far More Tech-Driven, Presenting More Big Challenges. A plurality of experts think sweeping societal change will make life worse for most people as greater inequality, rising authoritarianism and rampant misinformation take hold in the wake of the COVID-19 outbreak.
Aug 30, 2019 · Our research shows there’s at least one path to a more sustainable world in 2050, and that major advances can be made if all parts of society focus their efforts on three changes. First, we need to ramp up clean energy and site it on lands that have already been developed or degraded.
