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Jan 23, 2024 · Last year the Bulletin set the clock at 90 seconds to midnight mainly due to Russia’s invasion of Ukraine and the increased risk of nuclear escalation. From 2020 to 2022, the clock was set at ...
- 2 min
Guillen explains the demographic, economic and technological changes we can expect to see across the world in the next decade. In his new book, “ 2030: How Today’s Biggest Trends Will Collide and Reshape the Future of Everything, ” Guillen discusses how these changes will affect us in the years to come. During a recent interview on the ...
Feb 9, 2023 · The minerals themselves are processed in only a few countries around the world. So people are going to have to move them from one place to another. Maybe the world could have broader diversification of such things, but on average, the timeline from discovering a mineral to being able to produce it at scale is well in excess of 16 years.
Oct 31, 2023 · The Generation Gap. The gap between generations in terms of wealth and property ownership will continue to drive global and social change in 2024. According to research conducted in 2023, the ...
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- Russia as We Know It May Not Survive The Coming Decade
- Expect A Chinese Military Offensive Against Taiwan
- US-Chinese Decoupling May Not Be as Dramatic as We Think It Will Be
- The United States Will Remain Powerful But Not Hegemonic
- Get Ready For Even Greater Global Volatility
- Democracies Will Face A Difficult Decade of Systemic Dangers
One of the most surprising takeaways was how many respondents pointed to a potential Russian collapse over the next decade—suggesting that the Kremlin’s war against Ukraine could precipitate hugely consequential upheaval in a great power with the largest nuclear-weapons arsenal on the planet. Nearly half (46 percent) of respondents expect Russia to...
Recently, US officials have been warningthat China could launch a military campaign to reunify Taiwan with the mainland on a faster-than-anticipated schedule between now and 2027. And our survey results support that dire assessment. Fully 70 percent of respondents agree—though just 12 percent strongly agree—that China will seek to forcibly retake T...
There has been a lot of talk about “decoupling,” or efforts to disentangle the US and Chinese economies. But the experts we surveyed delivered a clear verdict: Full-blown decoupling is very unlikely. Despite all the geopolitical tensions and tit-for-tat trade restrictions between the two countries, the most likely outcome (according to roughly 40 p...
Respondents generally expressed a belief in the United States’ staying power over the next ten years, though many envisioned a country preeminent in some domains of national clout but not others. Seven in ten foresee the United States continuing to be the world’s dominant military power by 2033—a notably high percentage given concerns about China’s...
One remarkable survey result is how many respondents expect the world to face additional economic and public-health perils in the coming decade. Seventy-six percent predict another global economic crisis on the scale of the 2008-2009 financial crisis by 2033. A further 19 percent say that there will be two or more such crises. Forty-nine percent fo...
Democracies are entering a dangerous decade in which they will need to contend with nationalist and populist forces and all the challenges associated with rapidly evolving technology. When asked which social movements they expected to have the most political influence worldwide over the next ten years, only 5 percent of respondents chose pro-democr...
Oct 26, 2022 · The New World Envisioning Life After Climate Change. Already, it’s a different planet. Climate change has led to roughly 1.2 degrees Celsius of warming so far, making the earth hotter now than ...
Aug 30, 2019 · What 2050 Could Look Like. The difference in this path to 2050 was striking. The number of additional people who will be exposed to dangerous levels of air pollution declines to just 7% of the planet’s population, or 656 million, compared with half the global population, or 4.85 billion people, in our business-as-usual scenario.
