Search results
3 days ago · Updating average for each candidate in 2024 presidential polls, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects. Polling averages are adjusted based on state and national polls, which means candidates’ averages can shift even if no new polls have been added to this page. Read the full methodology here.
Nov 8, 2022 · And Florida’s new congressional map converted three Democratic-held districts — the 5th, 3 7th and 13th — into Republican strongholds. Population growth also led to the creation of four new ...
Jan 9, 2022 · A: For some pollsters, we do not have any polls from the last three weeks of an election cycle, which means we can’t evaluate their historical performance. We do include polls from these ...
Nov 8, 2016 · Electoral College deadlock no candidate gets 270 electoral votes: 1.0%: Electoral College 269-269 tie: 0.5%: Recount at least one decisive state within 0.5 ppt: 8.3%: Clinton wins popular vote: 81.4%: Trump wins popular vote: 18.6%: Clinton wins popular vote but loses Electoral College: 10.5%: Trump wins popular vote but loses Electoral College ...
What we've done here is created an electoral map for each model from the current* FiveThirtyEight state-level probabilities. Essentially, we are coloring a state for Clinton or Trump where one of them has a 60% or higher chance of winning. Blue and red are used to show higher probabilities for Clinton or Trump, with the gradient deepening as ...
3 days ago · The latest political polls and polling averages from FiveThirtyEight. UPDATED May 12, 2024, at 6:58 PM. Latest Polls.
Jun 12, 2020 · In our average of polls of the generic congressional ballot, Democrats currently lead by 7.9 percentage points (48.5 percent to 40.6 percent). A week ago, Democrats led Republicans by 7.8 points ...
