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Dec 17, 2018 · Distinct groups of people, living in distinct parts of the country, are shifting their preferences and shifting the electoral map along the way. In 2016, Democrats lost in places that, four years ...
Mar 1, 2008 · Fourthly, we simulate the election 10,000 times for each site update in order to provide a probabilistic assessment of electoral outcomes based on a historical analysis of polling data since 1952.
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Apr 26, 2021 · The new Electoral College map, with votes based on each state's latest share of seats in Congress, goes into effect beginning with the 2024 presidential race. Correction April 26, 2021
Aug 9, 2021 · The first thing you’ll see on the national page of the tracker is a map of all congressional districts nationwide, with each district shaded according to its FiveThirtyEight partisan lean. 3 We ...
- Nathaniel Rakich
Jul 5, 2022 · July 5, 2022, 1:34 PM ET. FiveThirtyEight has recently published its 2022 election forecasts for Senate, House, and governor. We've created interactive maps for each. You can use these as a starting point to create and share your own 2022 predictions. For more background, see the 'Model Talk' podcast ( watch or listen) from June 30.
Aug 9, 2021 · FiveThirtyEight uses statistical analysis - hard numbers - to tell compelling stories about elections, politics and American society.
Jan 19, 2022 · Of the 268 congressional districts drawn so far, 128 have a FiveThirtyEight partisan lean 1 of D+5 or bluer, while 119 have a FiveThirtyEight partisan lean of R+5 or redder. Only 21 are in the ...
