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1. www.economist.com › interactive › us-2024-electionTrump v Biden: who’s ahead in the latest polls? | The Economist

   www.economist.com › interactive › us-2024-election

   US Election 2024. Polls. Build-a-voter. The Economist is tracking the contest to be America’s next president.

   • Election poll trackers

     beta. Election poll trackers. Get ahead of the results with...

   • Forecasting The Us Elections

     Forecasting the US elections. The Economist is analysing...

2. www.economist.com › interactive › us-2024-electionTrump v Biden: who’s ahead in the latest polls? | The Economist

   www.economist.com › interactive › us-2024-election

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   May 22, 2024 · Donald Trump. Republican Party. 41 46 52. Joe Biden. Democratic Party. 41 45 50. O n November 5th Americans will go to the polls to elect their next president. The contest will feel familiar:...

3. www.270towin.com › maps › the-economist-usThe Economist's US Presidential Election Forecast - 270toWin

   www.270towin.com › maps › the-economist-us

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   4 days ago · Updated twice daily, this is an electoral map projection based on The Economist's US presidential election forecast. Use the timeline feature to view the map based on the final update each day. The Toss-Up tan color is used where neither candidate currently has a 65% or higher chance of winning.

4. www.economist.com › us-election-2024US elections 2024 | The Economist

   www.economist.com › us-election-2024

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   Joe Biden’s assault on the $900 child-eczema cream. Everything you need to know about the 2024 presidential election in America, poll trackers, results and news about Biden vs Trump.

5. projects.economist.com › president › how-this-worksHow The Economist presidential forecast works | The Economist

   projects.economist.com › president › how-this-works

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   Nov 3, 2020 · Developed with the assistance of Andrew Gelman and Merlin Heidemanns, political scientists at Columbia University, our model calculates Joe Biden’s and Donald Trump’s probabilities of winning each...

6. People also ask

   Will the Economist predict America's presidential election in 2020?

   • The Economist is analysing polling, economic and demographic data to predict America’s elections in 2020 T his year, The Economist is publishing its first-ever statistical forecast of an American presidential election.

   How The Economist presidential forecast works | The Economist

   projects.economist.com/us-2020-forecast/president/how-this-works

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   Where can I find the latest polls for the Republican primaries?

   • The Economist is tracking the contest. Here you can find the latest polls, though it should be noted that pre-election polls have limited predictive power for the final result until the end of the summer in an election year. You can also go to our poll tracker for the US Republican primaries.

   Trump v Biden: who’s ahead in the polls? | The Economist

   www.economist.com/interactive/us-2024-election

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   How can we predict the national popular vote on Election Day?

   • The first step in our model is to generate a prediction for the national popular vote on election day. We use two main sources of information: national polls and “fundamentals”, the term in political science for structural factors that influence voter decisions.

   How The Economist presidential forecast works | The Economist

   projects.economist.com/us-2020-forecast/president/how-this-works

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   What are the chances of a Trump vs Biden vote?

   • It merely produces a single best guess, such as Joe Biden winning 51.6327% of votes cast for the two major parties, or Mr Trump winning 53.8146%. The chances that the final result will match this prediction down to the last decimal place are effectively zero.

   How The Economist presidential forecast works | The Economist

   projects.economist.com/us-2020-forecast/president/how-this-works

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