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CDCR reports recidivism rates (arrests, convictions, and returns to prison) through our Recidivism Data Dashboard. The three-year conviction rate is CDCR’s primary measure of recidivism (for more information, please see the Evaluation Design Section of our Recidivism Report Series below).
- Offender Data Points
Previously, CDCR published Offender Data Points reports...
- Recidivism Reports
Read recidivism reports. CDCR currently examines recidivism...
- Offender Data Points
This report presents recidivism outcomes (arrests, convictions, and returns to state custody), as well as demographics (e.g. gender, race/ethnicity) and characteristics (e.g. commitment offense category) for the 220 youth released from DJJ between July 1, 2014 and June 30, 2015.
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What is the recidivism rate of sexual molesters?
Do child molesters recidivism estimates underestimate the lifetime risk of reoffending?
How does CDCR report recidivism?
Do different types of sex offenders have different recidivism rates?
There are a wide range of estimates of the recidivism rate for child molesters. However, some of the better designed research on the subject suggests a conservative estimate of long-term recidivism to be 50 percent higher, depending on the type of offender.
Apr 18, 2017 · The most recent three-year recidivism rates for youth released from DJJ are high and reported inconsistently. In early 2017, DJJ released a report showing 74. 2 percent of youth were re-arrested, 53. 8 percent were reconvicted of new offenses, and 37. 3 percent had returned to state custody within three years of release from DJJ.
The highest rate of recidivism among child molesters in the study (77 percent) was found for child molesters with previous sexual offenses, those who were never married and those who selected extrafamilial boy victims. In contrast, the long-term recidivism rate for child molesters categorized as low risk was less than 20 percent.
The data indicate that: (1) both rapists and child molesters remain at risk to reoffend long after their discharge, in some cases 15–20 yrs after discharge; (2) there was a marked underestimation of recidivism when calculating a simple proportion (%) consisting of those who were known to have reoffended during the follow-up period, and (3) there...
