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Jun 2, 2022 · Thursday, June 02, 2022. What a predictive model tells us about the last decade of results, as well as 2022. KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE. — Senate elections have become firmly yoked to...
Jun 10, 2021 · Forecasting the 2022 Midterm Election with the Generic Ballot. A Commentary By Alan I. Abramowitz. Thursday, June 10, 2021. KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE. — National House generic ballot polling...
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Nov 19, 2020 · Assuming Republicans hold the Georgia seats — we currently rate both as Toss-ups — the Senate would be 52-48 Republican, and Democrats would need to net two seats in 2022 to take control of the...
Jul 5, 2022 · July 5, 2022, 1:34 PM ET. FiveThirtyEight has recently published its 2022 election forecasts for Senate, House, and governor. We've created interactive maps for each. You can use these as a starting point to create and share your own 2022 predictions. For more background, see the 'Model Talk' podcast ( watch or listen) from June 30.
1. House 2022 Election Predictions (New!) 2. Governor Forecast. 3. Senate Polling. 4. Senate Primary Polling. 5. Joe Biden Approval Rating Map. 6. Top Ten Senate Races (New!) The Democratic Party’s Senate Majority rest on a razor's edge, tied with Republicans with fifty seats apiece, with the tie broken by Vice President Kamala Harris.
How the Senate forecast works. Explore the findings of our model of the race to control Congress. October 31st 2022: We have updated the methodology behind our congressional forecast. Read...
This 3-part Senate map lets you view the current Senate, make a forecast for the 2022 Senate elections, and see the composition of the 2023 Senate based on those predictions. Use the buttons below the map to share it on social media or embed it into a web page. As of Nov. 7, 2022 Details >>.
