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Problem is, it can be hard to know which polls to trust or how to make sense of them all. But don’t worry — it doesn’t take an advanced degree in statistics to interpret polling in a smart ...
RealClearPolitics (RCP) is an American political news website and polling data aggregator. The site was formed in 2000 by former options trader John McIntyre and former advertising agency account executive Tom Bevan .
- February 3, 2000
- English
- RealClearInvestors and Crest Media
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Dec 12, 2023 · We can’t tell you what people will think a year from today, but we can improve your ability to understand what is going on now. 2023-12-12T00:00:00.000Z. A guide to reading political polling results, understanding the RCP Average, and drawing conclusions based on polling numbers this election season.
Jul 22, 2021 · Not very well. It is not clear that any "rules" apply. Statistically their technique is on very shaky ground, see Why is an average of an average usually incorrect? Their track record really isn't anything to brag about. For further information, see Lies, damned lies, and statistics. Share.
May 13, 2024 · Analysis / Bias. RealClearPolling was launched in December 2023 and features polling data typically found on Real Clear Politics in an updated graphical format. The new website covers the same polls as Real Clear Politics and focuses on presidential performance polls, state and national elections, and the direction of the country.
Jul 6, 2020 · Their favorites are Nate Silver’s FiveThirtyEight and RealClearPolitics. The idea is that seeing the polls as a group will give you a better understanding of what the trends and outliers...
Mar 16, 2024 · For example, in the first five polls recorded in the RealClearPolitics database this year, Biden’s average approval rating on handling the economy was just 38.8 per cent. In the latest five ...
