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Nov 8, 2016 · Updated Nov. 9, 2016. We’re forecasting the Senate elections with three models. Polls-plus forecast. What polls, the economy and historical data tell us about Nov. 8. Polls-only forecast. What...
- Updates
Nate Silver's predictions and polling data for the 2016...
- Generic ballot polls
Nate Silver's predictions and polling data for the 2016...
- Arizona
Predictions and polling data for the 2016 Arizona Senate...
- Indiana
Predictions and polling data for the 2016 Indiana Senate...
- Nevada
Predictions and polling data for the 2016 Nevada Senate...
- New Hampshire
Predictions and polling data for the 2016 New Hampshire...
- North Carolina
Predictions and polling data for the 2016 North Carolina...
- Ohio
Predictions and polling data for the 2016 Ohio Senate...
- Pennsylvania
Predictions and polling data for the 2016 Pennsylvania...
- Updates
Nov 8, 2016 · Who’s ahead in each state and by how much. Our win probabilities come from simulating the election 20,000 times, which produces a distribution of possible outcomes for each state. Here are the...
Nov 8, 2016 · 2016 Senate Election Forecast - The New York Times. By JOSH KATZ. The Democrats have a 52% chance of winning the Senate. Last updated Tuesday, November 8 at 10:20 PM ET. Chance of winning....
Nov 7, 2016 · Map 2: Crystal Ball Senate projection. We’re forecasting Democrats to win control of the Senate, but only by the slimmest of margins. Overall, we’re picking a net gain of four for Democrats in the Senate, which results in a 50-50 tie in Congress’ upper chamber.
Final pre-election predictions. Several sites and individuals publish predictions of competitive seats. These predictions look at factors such as the strength of the incumbent (if the incumbent is running for reelection) and the other candidates, and the state's partisan lean (reflected in part by the state's Cook Partisan Voting Index rating ...
Nov 8, 2016 · Thirty-four of these 100 seats are up for election in 2016, 24 of them currently held by a Republican. Republicans must win at least 21 seats to guarantee a majority. Democrats must only win 15....
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Nov 9, 2016 · Updated Nov. 9, 2016. View forecast. Republicans will control the Senate. The projections for each race are based on the votes reported so far and how those places have voted in previous...
