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May 11, 2024 · Data for FiveThirtyEight's previous favorability, presidential approval and national 2024 Republican primary averages is available for download here. Notice any bugs or missing polls? Send us...
6 days ago · Data for FiveThirtyEight's previous favorability, presidential approval and national 2024 Republican primary averages is available for download here. Notice any bugs or missing polls? Send us...
6 days ago · Data for FiveThirtyEight's previous favorability, presidential approval and national 2024 Republican primary averages is available for download here. Notice any bugs or missing polls? Send us...
Jun 10, 2024 · Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based...
6 days ago · ESTIMATE. 95% OF POLLS PROJECTED TO FALL IN THIS RANGE. In November 2023, we made changes to the way we calculate our polling averages. Read the full methodology here. Sort by date.
Feb 2, 2023 · Projects, dashboards, forecasts and more. May 1, 2024. The 8 Types Of Democrats And Republicans In The House. Tia Yang, Cooper Burton, Mary Radcliffe, Katie Marriner and Amina Brown. Apr 8, 2024.
6 days ago · An updating calculation of the president's approval rating, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects. How this works See the latest polls. KEY. ESTIMATE. 95%...
Nov 3, 2020 · His lead is larger than Clinton’s in every battleground state, and more than double her lead nationally. Our model forecasts Biden to win the popular vote by 8 percentage points, 1 more than ...
Nov 8, 2022 · When we launched our midterms forecast on June 30, Republicans had a 53 percent chance of taking over the Senate from Democrats, and an 87 percent chance of taking over the House. We could almost...
Mar 10, 2023 · We analyzed virtually all polls conducted in the final 21 days 1 before every presidential, U.S. Senate, U.S. House and gubernatorial general election, and every presidential primary, since 1998 ...
