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Nov 8, 2016 · Updated Nov. 9, 2016. We’re forecasting the Senate elections with three models. Polls-plus forecast. What polls, the economy and historical data tell us about Nov. 8. Polls-only forecast. What...
- Updates
Nate Silver's predictions and polling data for the 2016...
- Generic ballot polls
Nate Silver's predictions and polling data for the 2016...
- Arizona
Predictions and polling data for the 2016 Arizona Senate...
- Indiana
Predictions and polling data for the 2016 Indiana Senate...
- Nevada
Predictions and polling data for the 2016 Nevada Senate...
- New Hampshire
Predictions and polling data for the 2016 New Hampshire...
- North Carolina
Predictions and polling data for the 2016 North Carolina...
- Ohio
Predictions and polling data for the 2016 Ohio Senate...
- Updates
Final pre-election predictions. Several sites and individuals publish predictions of competitive seats. These predictions look at factors such as the strength of the incumbent (if the incumbent is running for reelection) and the other candidates, and the state's partisan lean (reflected in part by the state's Cook Partisan Voting Index rating ...
Nov 8, 2016 · Who’s ahead in each state and by how much. Our win probabilities come from simulating the election 20,000 times, which produces a distribution of possible outcomes for each state. Here are the...
Our 2020 Senate forecast is final and no longer updating. Updated 4 years ago. Democrats are favored to win the Senate. Each party’s seat count in scenarios where it wins the Senate in...
Nov 7, 2016 · Map 2: Crystal Ball Senate projection. We’re forecasting Democrats to win control of the Senate, but only by the slimmest of margins. Overall, we’re picking a net gain of four for Democrats in the Senate, which results in a 50-50 tie in Congress’ upper chamber.
Nov 7, 2020 · 29-10% <10% Republican win. 30%+. 29-10% <10% States that flipped from 2016. Circle size represents each state's Electoral College votes. 2016. 2020. Both Maine and Nebraska allow electoral...
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Who will control the Senate? Review and predict the outcome of the 34 Senate races in the 2016 elections.
