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  1. Nov 8, 2016 · Updated Nov. 9, 2016. We’re forecasting the Senate elections with three models. Polls-plus forecast. What polls, the economy and historical data tell us about Nov. 8. Polls-only forecast. What...

    • Updates

      Nate Silver's predictions and polling data for the 2016...

    • Generic ballot polls

      Nate Silver's predictions and polling data for the 2016...

    • Arizona

      Predictions and polling data for the 2016 Arizona Senate...

    • Indiana

      Predictions and polling data for the 2016 Indiana Senate...

    • Nevada

      Predictions and polling data for the 2016 Nevada Senate...

    • New Hampshire

      Predictions and polling data for the 2016 New Hampshire...

    • North Carolina

      Predictions and polling data for the 2016 North Carolina...

    • Ohio

      Predictions and polling data for the 2016 Ohio Senate...

    • Pennsylvania

      Predictions and polling data for the 2016 Pennsylvania...

  2. Nov 8, 2016 · 1.6% How the forecast has changed. We'll be updating our forecasts every time new data is available, every day through Nov. 8. Chance of winning Electoral votes Popular vote. Our latest...

  3. Nov 8, 2016 · 48% Republicans. Forecast history ↘. Recent changes ↘. State by state ↘. Likely outcomes ↘. Other forecasts ↘. Rolling the dice ↘. The Upshot’s elections model suggests that the Democrats are...

  4. Nov 8, 2016 · Latest Senate Election Polls 2016. Updated daily as new polls are published. Sign up for updates | See presidential polls →. Of the 100 seats in the United States Senate, 54 are currently...

  5. 1. 8. 1. 3. 42 Safe or Not Up. 51 Seats Needed For Majority ( Create Your Own Map) Likely Dem. IL: Kirk (R) Safe Dem Seats. Leans Dem. CO: Bennet (D) Leans GOP. AZ: McCain (R) Create Your Own Map....

  6. Nov 9, 2016 · Updated Nov. 9, 2016. View forecast. Republicans will control the Senate. The projections for each race are based on the votes reported so far and how those places have voted in previous...

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  8. Final pre-election predictions. Several sites and individuals publish predictions of competitive seats. These predictions look at factors such as the strength of the incumbent (if the incumbent is running for reelection) and the other candidates, and the state's partisan lean (reflected in part by the state's Cook Partisan Voting Index rating ...

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