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  1. 3 days ago · Who’s Ahead in National Presidential Polls? General election polling average. Do Voters Want Republicans Or Democrats In Congress? Generic ballot polling average. How Popular Is Joe Biden?...

  2. 538 uses statistical analysis — hard numbers — to tell compelling stories about elections, politics, economics, and American society.

  3. Apr 21, 2023 · Nate Silver founded and was the editor in chief of FiveThirtyEight. He is the author of “The Signal and the Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fail — But Some Don’t.”

  4. Mar 6, 2012 · By Nate Silver. The biggest day so far in the race for the Republican presidential nomination — 11 states weigh-in — could solidify Mitt Romney’s grip on the nomination or upend the contest....

  5. 3 days ago · Who’s Ahead in National Presidential Polls? General election polling average. Do Voters Want Republicans Or Democrats In Congress? Generic ballot polling average. How Popular Is Joe Biden?...

  6. Pollster Nate Silver projected that former President Donald Trump has a 65.7% chance of winning the presidency in November. He gives President Joe Biden a 33.7% chance with a narrow 0.5% chance of ...

  7. Nov 17, 2022 · An updating average, accounting for each polls quality, recency, sample size and partisan lean.

  8. Nov 3, 2020 · Latest forecast of the 2020 presidential election between President Donald Trump and Joe Biden by Nate Silver’s FiveThirtyEight

  9. Jun 18, 2024 · An updating average, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.

  10. 4 days ago · An updating average, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.

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