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Jun 28, 2018 · An updating average of 2020 presidential general election polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency
Jun 11, 2024 · Four months out from Election Day, the 2024 presidential election is a pure toss-up. Right now, President Joe Biden is favored to win in 465 out of 1,000 of our model’s simulations of how the...
Jun 28, 2018 · Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted...
6 days ago · Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls.
1 day ago · An updating average, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.
Mar 10, 2023 · We analyzed virtually all polls conducted in the final 21 days 1 before every presidential, U.S. Senate, U.S. House and gubernatorial general election, and every presidential primary, since 1998...
Jun 18, 2020 · Our New Polling Averages Show Biden Leads Trump By 9 Points Nationally. But the race is closer in swing states, which could allow Trump to win the Electoral College if the race tightens. By Nate...
