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2 days ago · An updating average of 2020 presidential general election polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency. Polling averages are adjusted based on state and national polls,...
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1 day ago · Who’s ahead in the national polls? Updating average for each candidate in 2024 presidential polls, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.
4 days ago · An interactive electoral map derived from 538's probabilistic model for the 2024 presidential election.
Aug 14, 2023 · 2024 Presidential Election Polls. This page displays the current 270toWin Polling Average for each state. Where that is not applicable, the most recent 2024 presidential election poll is used. The average methodology is summarized below the table. The default view is Harris vs. Trump head-to-head.
1 day ago · Our polling averages track the latest trends in the presidential race, using data from national and battleground state polls.
1 day ago · First, for all of the contests in 538's state and national presidential general election polling database (which goes back all the way to 1948, thanks to the tireless work of our research team ...
2 days ago · Who’s ahead in the national polls? An updating average, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.
Apr 25, 2024 · Biden is currently trailing Trump in the swing states. 538′s polling averages for the 2024 presidential general election, accounting for pollster quality and house effects, poll recency, sample ...
538 uses statistical analysis — hard numbers — to tell compelling stories about elections, politics, economics, and American society.
1 day ago · As well as an average of the polls, you can also see historic polling data for Mr Biden and Mr Trump, more recent polling since Ms Harris entered the contest, and key dates in the race and ...
