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4 days ago · An updating average of 2020 presidential general election polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency
4 days ago · Updating average for each candidate in 2024 presidential polls, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects. 95% OF AVERAGES PROJECTED TO FALL IN THIS RANGE.
3 days ago · Updating average for each candidate in 2024 presidential polls, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.
Jun 11, 2024 · 538’s 2024 presidential election forecast model showing Democrat Joe Biden’s and Republican Donald Trump’s chances of winning.
4 days ago · We’re tracking polls that include Vice President Kamala Harris, the likely Democratic presidential nominee, and former President Donald J. Trump.
5 days ago · A side-by-side look at how the experts see the November, 2024 presidential election and what the polls currently show.
With the election months away, 538 breaks down the possibilities and future of President Biden in the White House.
4 days ago · An updating average of 2020 presidential general election polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency
Jun 18, 2020 · Recent polls show former Vice President Joe Biden with a solid lead over President Trump nationally, and in most swing states.
Apr 25, 2024 · It's the moment you've all been waiting for: Today, 538 launched our interactive polling averages for the 2024 presidential general election. They show incumbent President Joe Biden and former President Donald Trump essentially tied in national polls and Trump with a tenuous lead in key swing states.
