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  1. 1 day ago · When the dates of tracking polls from the same pollster overlap, only the most recent version is shown. Data for FiveThirtyEight's previous favorability, presidential approval and national...

  2. Jun 28, 2018 · Who’s ahead in the Ohio House ? An updating average, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.

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  4. Jul 19, 2022 · An updating tracker of proposed congressional maps — and whether they might benefit Democrats or Republicans in the 2022 midterm elections and beyond Our 2021-22 redistricting tracker is no...

  5. 4 days ago · Who’s ahead in Ohio? An updating average of 2020 presidential general election polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency.

  6. Jul 5, 2022 · July 5, 2022, 1:34 PM ET. FiveThirtyEight has recently published its 2022 election forecasts for Senate, House, and governor. We've created interactive maps for each. You can use these as a starting point to create and share your own 2022 predictions. For more background, see the 'Model Talk' podcast ( watch or listen) from June 30.

  7. Oct 5, 2016 · Quinnipiac showed a similarly wide 9-point spread in its recent polls, with Clinton up by 4 in Pennsylvania but down 5 in Ohio. Is it really plausible that Ohio and Pennsylvania could be so...

  8. Nov 7, 2016 · Ohio (Trump is a 65 percent favorite; 7 percent chance of tipping election) Iowa (Trump is a 73 percent favorite; 1 percent chance of tipping election) Obama was leading in the polls in Ohio...